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Red79
1033611.5
236713.2
347335.4
Blue143
665742.9
566544.2
264329.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61137010015020025079143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+48
Endgame+62
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave6
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points18
16Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +40
10Coral scored#22
37Coral points79
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
61Total teleop101
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#5
2L2#8
1L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points2
79Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3473
#24
35.40.6
34.735.4
Auto5.9
Teleop27.1
End2.3
blue by 8.8
5665
#21
44.21.4
41.142.5
Auto7.6
Teleop34.0
End2.6
Second
2367
#33
13.20.6
12.513.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 29.8
42.91.4
40.441.8
Auto11.2
Teleop26.9
End4.8
Third
11.50.6
10.911.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End0.4
blue by 17.5
2643
#26
29.01.4
27.629.0
Auto2.3
Teleop25.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned