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Red62
970617.6
545841.9
96822.0
Blue72
213543.7
630523.6
688419.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901040501502006272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+16
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points23
23Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +10
7Coral scored#8
25Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
33Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#16
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
62Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#20
41.91.4
42.140.7
Auto9.2
Teleop29.4
End3.2
blue by 1.8
2135
#17
43.71.2
44.243.0
Auto13.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
Second
968
#35
22.01.4
21.620.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.2
End6.1
blue by 1.6
6305
#27
23.61.2
24.823.6
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End1.3
Third
9706
#37
17.61.7
19.317.6
Auto3.8
Teleop12.0
End1.7
blue by 1.8
6884
#23
19.41.2
20.619.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed