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Red160
581758.1
213543.7
228852.1
Blue171
603669.5
414143.1
351249.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164182100150200250160171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave9
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points29
44Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +11
16Coral scored#21
58Coral points77
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
18Processor points18
24Net points16
42Algae points34
100Total teleop111
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#10
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points6
160Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#18
58.10.1
58.058.1
Auto11.1
Teleop43.7
End3.3
blue by 11.4
6036
#13
69.50.1
68.969.0
Auto18.8
Teleop49.2
End1.6
Second
2288
#11
52.10.1
51.952.1
Auto9.0
Teleop37.1
End5.9
red by 2.6
49.50.1
48.949.0
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End7.9
Third
2135
#17
43.70.1
43.543.7
Auto13.7
Teleop27.6
End2.4
red by 0.6
4141
#19
43.10.1
42.542.6
Auto10.8
Teleop25.4
End6.8