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Red211
397080.4
203528.1
97360.1
Blue182
908465.2
566544.2
513741.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182157100120140200220240260211182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+31Teleop
+41Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points28
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +17
28Coral scored#20
102Coral points73
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
12Processor points24
20Net points20
32Algae points44
134Total teleop117
Reef
15L4#11
10L3#4
6L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points12
211Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.41.0
79.180.1
Auto18.5
Teleop52.0
End9.9
red by 15.2
9084
#10
65.20.5
64.164.6
Auto19.6
Teleop40.9
End4.8
Second
973
#2
60.11.0
58.859.8
Auto17.1
Teleop34.8
End8.1
red by 15.9
5665
#21
44.20.5
43.043.5
Auto7.6
Teleop34.0
End2.6
Third
2035
#29
28.11.0
26.827.8
Auto8.5
Teleop18.9
End0.7
blue by 13.8
41.90.5
40.841.3
Auto10.4
Teleop24.6
End6.9