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Red93
388237.4
114836.8
665814.6
Blue74
183628.3
68722.8
59726.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81980501502009374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
13Coral scored#10
45Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
73Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
93Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.41.7
28.229.9
Auto5.6
Teleop27.0
End4.8
red by 9.1
1836
#23
28.31.6
22.120.5
Auto3.9
Teleop23.4
End0.9
Second
1148
#25
36.81.7
29.130.8
Auto5.7
Teleop26.8
End4.3
red by 10.2
597
#18
26.61.6
30.428.8
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End2.3
Third
6658
#21
14.61.2
17.418.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End5.1
blue by 8.2
687
#33
22.81.6
33.031.5
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed