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Red61
585716.9
69049.3
420140.3
Blue66
1059712.8
1042421.3
114836.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647340801001206166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +18
7Coral scored#11
24Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
34Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
61Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#15
40.30.0
39.339.3
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End5.6
red by 3.5
1148
#25
36.80.6
30.831.4
Auto5.7
Teleop26.8
End4.3
Second
5857
#11
16.90.1
12.612.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End3.4
blue by 4.4
21.30.6
14.715.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Third
6904
#38
9.30.0
8.48.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End1.9
blue by 3.6
12.80.6
15.315.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed