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Red185
119770.8
1065817.7
432245.5
Blue40
961519.9
665814.6
630515.9
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8369406010012014016018018540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+36Auto
+133Teleop
+143Endgame
+145Fouls
AutonomousRed +36
6Leave0
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
36Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +97
25Coral scored#8
89Coral points28
4Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
24Processor points0
20Net points8
44Algae points8
133Total teleop36
Reef
9L4#2
10L3#3
6L2#2
6L1 · trough#1
40Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +145
2Foul points0
185Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.811.0
33.644.6
Auto20.4
Teleop42.4
End8.0
red by 50.8
9615
#35
19.94.1
18.314.1
Auto2.0
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Second
4322
#10
45.511.0
26.137.1
Auto9.4
Teleop34.4
End1.7
red by 29.6
6305
#36
15.94.1
28.324.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End1.8
Third
17.711.0
14.125.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End1.1
red by 3.1
6658
#21
14.62.8
18.715.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed