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Red62
151518.3
388237.4
183628.3
Blue131
940867.0
784041.2
59931.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781265010015020062131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+59
Endgame+69
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +38
11Coral scored#18
39Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
49Total teleop87
Reef
3L4#11
5L3#4
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points0
62Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.42.1
29.927.8
Auto5.6
Teleop27.0
End4.8
blue by 29.6
67.01.2
59.961.1
Auto18.3
Teleop41.9
End6.8
Second
1836
#23
28.32.1
20.518.4
Auto3.9
Teleop23.4
End0.9
blue by 12.9
41.21.7
24.926.6
Auto7.7
Teleop27.4
End6.0
Third
1515
#34
18.32.1
25.223.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End3.3
blue by 13.3
599
#9
31.61.7
24.626.4
Auto7.9
Teleop21.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned