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Red79
375929.5
447027.8
496415.8
Blue37
115911.9
508914.3
151518.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7860020401001201407937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+34Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +31
12Coral scored#6
44Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
58Total teleop27
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#8
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
79Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3759
#32
29.50.4
30.631.0
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
red by 11.2
1515
#34
18.32.9
23.120.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End3.3
Second
27.80.5
19.620.1
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End6.8
red by 13.5
5089
#30
14.32.9
22.019.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Third
4964
#28
15.80.5
18.018.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End-1.1
red by 3.9
1159
#37
11.91.9
12.510.6
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed