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Red119
70245.3
432245.5
784041.2
Blue109
585716.9
566916.2
119770.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112590100150200119109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points27
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +27
16Coral scored#13
58Coral points45
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
18Processor points12
16Net points8
34Algae points20
92Total teleop65
Reef
9L4#7
3L3#6
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
119Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#10
45.52.6
37.139.6
Auto9.4
Teleop34.4
End1.7
blue by 25.3
70.85.3
44.649.9
Auto20.4
Teleop42.4
End8.0
Second
702
#13
45.31.7
32.334.0
Auto11.3
Teleop32.1
End1.9
red by 28.3
5857
#11
16.95.3
12.718.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Third
41.22.6
26.629.2
Auto7.7
Teleop27.4
End6.0
red by 25.0
5669
#31
16.23.5
3.87.4
Auto2.2
Teleop12.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned