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Red35
630515.9
145215.5
8898-0.6
Blue43
388237.4
1059712.8
961519.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52690204060801003543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto0
TeleoperatedBlue +14
6Coral scored#8
23Coral points29
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
27Total teleop41
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
35Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6305
#36Sur
15.91.3
24.222.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End1.8
blue by 21.5
3882
#8Sur
37.41.6
27.826.2
Auto5.6
Teleop27.0
End4.8
Second
1452
#14
15.50.8
14.513.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.9
blue by 4.5
9615
#35
19.91.6
14.112.5
Auto2.0
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Third
8898
#43
-0.61.3
8.16.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop-0.2
End0.1
blue by 13.5
12.81.6
15.914.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed