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Red50
375929.5
886113.5
508914.3
Blue107
496415.8
265923.0
940867.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6912505010015020050107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+53
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +23
6Leave0
1Coral scored#7
4Coral points33
10Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +30
6Coral scored#10
22Coral points36
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
40Total teleop70
Reef
2L4#8
2L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
50Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3759
#32
29.51.3
31.029.7
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
blue by 37.5
67.00.1
61.161.1
Auto18.3
Teleop41.9
End6.8
Second
5089
#30
14.32.1
19.117.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
blue by 8.8
2659
#22
23.00.1
26.426.5
Auto4.7
Teleop16.6
End1.7
Third
8861
#40
13.52.1
19.217.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.5
blue by 2.3
4964
#28
15.80.1
18.618.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed