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Red90
566916.2
69649.6
17593.0
Blue86
115911.9
114836.8
183628.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53680204060801001201409086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+2
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points3
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +18
12Coral scored#13
44Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
54Total teleop72
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
6Foul points0
90Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#4
49.62.9
31.634.4
Auto9.6
Teleop35.8
End4.2
red by 12.8
1148
#25
36.81.8
31.433.3
Auto5.7
Teleop26.8
End4.3
Second
5669
#31
16.21.7
7.49.1
Auto2.2
Teleop12.7
End1.2
blue by 12.1
1836
#23
28.31.8
18.420.3
Auto3.9
Teleop23.4
End0.9
Third
1759
#41
3.02.9
11.614.4
Auto2.2
Teleop0.8
End-0.1
blue by 8.9
1159
#37
11.91.1
10.611.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed