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Red110
96816.7
98028.5
119770.8
Blue30
258435.6
388237.4
585716.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959140608010012014011030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+62Teleop
+76Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +51
13Coral scored#4
45Coral points14
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
69Total teleop18
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#7
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
4Foul points0
110Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.82.3
49.952.2
Auto20.4
Teleop42.4
End8.0
red by 33.4
37.45.7
26.220.4
Auto5.6
Teleop27.0
End4.8
Second
980
#17
28.52.3
16.218.5
Auto3.0
Teleop21.4
End4.1
blue by 7.1
2584
#19
35.63.4
37.534.1
Auto6.1
Teleop25.0
End4.5
Third
968
#26
16.72.3
19.221.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End3.9
blue by 0.3
5857
#11
16.95.7
18.012.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed