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Red33
8898-0.6
508914.3
59931.6
Blue50
68722.8
496415.8
432245.5
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4510201502003350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points19
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +8
4Coral scored#5
16Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
20Total teleop28
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
4Foul points0
33Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#9
31.62.2
24.622.4
Auto7.9
Teleop21.8
End1.9
blue by 13.8
4322
#10
45.54.1
39.635.6
Auto9.4
Teleop34.4
End1.7
Second
5089
#30
14.32.2
17.014.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
blue by 8.6
687
#33
22.84.1
28.324.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End2.7
Third
8898
#43
-0.62.2
6.84.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop-0.2
End0.1
blue by 16.4
4964
#28
15.84.1
18.714.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed