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Red50
950510.2
1059712.8
512425.6
Blue94
166136.8
375929.5
1065817.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479601502005094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+42
Endgame+38
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +38
4Coral scored#13
14Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
22Total teleop60
Reef
1L4#6
3L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
12Foul points18
50Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5124
#24
25.61.0
15.714.8
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
blue by 11.2
36.80.3
30.730.4
Auto10.3
Teleop24.9
End1.5
Second
12.81.0
14.213.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End-0.1
blue by 16.7
3759
#32
29.50.3
29.729.3
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
Third
9505
#42
10.21.0
16.715.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
blue by 7.5
17.70.5
20.519.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned