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Red103
886113.5
622015.9
940867.0
Blue62
447027.8
665814.6
183628.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10756015020010362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+49Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
12Coral scored#6
43Coral points21
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
67Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#2
7L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
103Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.00.1
61.161.1
Auto18.3
Teleop41.9
End6.8
red by 38.7
1836
#23
28.30.6
20.319.6
Auto3.9
Teleop23.4
End0.9
Second
6220
#39
15.90.1
14.414.3
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End1.2
blue by 11.9
27.80.6
23.222.5
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End6.8
Third
8861
#40
13.50.1
17.117.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.5
blue by 1.1
6658
#21
14.60.4
13.212.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned