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Red115
784041.2
1065817.7
183628.3
Blue106
70245.3
258435.6
447027.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741070204060120140160115106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +18
16Coral scored#13
58Coral points46
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
92Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
115Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.22.9
30.133.0
Auto7.7
Teleop27.4
End6.0
blue by 4.1
702
#13
45.30.5
36.035.6
Auto11.3
Teleop32.1
End1.9
Second
1836
#23
28.32.9
19.622.5
Auto3.9
Teleop23.4
End0.9
blue by 7.3
2584
#19
35.60.5
34.734.2
Auto6.1
Teleop25.0
End4.5
Third
17.72.9
19.922.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End1.1
blue by 10.1
27.80.8
22.521.7
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed