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Red76
388237.4
96816.7
555320.2
Blue35
17593.0
1059712.8
499928.1
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57592040801007635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+29Teleop
+31Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
8Coral scored#3
30Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
0Processor points0
12Net points8
12Algae points8
42Total teleop17
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
12Foul points2
76Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.41.1
20.421.5
Auto5.6
Teleop27.0
End4.8
red by 9.3
4999
#20
28.11.1
25.224.1
Auto4.6
Teleop18.7
End4.8
Second
5553
#27
20.21.1
15.516.6
Auto1.6
Teleop16.7
End1.9
red by 7.4
12.81.8
13.211.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End-0.1
Third
968
#26
16.71.1
18.119.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End3.9
red by 13.7
1759
#41
3.01.8
11.09.2
Auto2.2
Teleop0.8
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed