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Red121
69649.6
420140.3
145215.5
Blue42
566916.2
375929.5
8898-0.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10733020608012014016012142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+69Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points9
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
18Coral scored#5
65Coral points19
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
81Total teleop29
Reef
6L4#2
8L3#3
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
121Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#4
49.63.4
36.539.9
Auto9.6
Teleop35.8
End4.2
red by 20.1
3759
#32
29.50.0
29.329.4
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
Second
4201
#15
40.32.0
39.541.5
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End5.6
red by 24.2
5669
#31
16.20.0
10.310.3
Auto2.2
Teleop12.7
End1.2
Third
1452
#14
15.52.0
14.316.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.9
red by 16.1
8898
#43
-0.60.1
1.81.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop-0.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed