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Red118
98028.5
940867.0
68722.8
Blue67
166136.8
1042421.3
512425.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1185905010015011867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+37Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave9
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points13
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +29
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
72Total teleop43
Reef
11L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#14
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
118Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.01.0
60.961.9
Auto18.3
Teleop41.9
End6.8
red by 30.2
36.80.4
31.131.5
Auto10.3
Teleop24.9
End1.5
Second
980
#17
28.51.6
21.723.3
Auto3.0
Teleop21.4
End4.1
red by 2.9
5124
#24
25.60.6
14.515.1
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
Third
687
#33
22.81.6
20.822.4
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End2.7
red by 1.5
21.30.6
15.916.5
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed