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Red259
119770.8
183628.3
622015.9
Blue10
496415.8
69049.3
950510.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1133505010015020025025910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+91Teleop
+93Endgame
+249Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
24Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +73
15Coral scored#1
53Coral points2
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
6Processor points0
16Net points0
22Algae points0
75Total teleop2
Reef
6L4#1
6L3#1
4L2#0
4L1 · trough#0
25Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +249
156Foul points0
259Total score10

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.81.3
53.454.8
Auto20.4
Teleop42.4
End8.0
red by 55.0
4964
#28
15.83.2
15.812.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End-1.1
Second
1836
#23
28.31.3
22.523.9
Auto3.9
Teleop23.4
End0.9
red by 18.0
9505
#42
10.23.2
13.09.7
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
Third
6220
#39
15.91.3
14.916.3
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End1.2
red by 6.7
6904
#38
9.31.9
10.18.2
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed