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Red69
555320.2
508914.3
70245.3
Blue89
29439.6
630515.9
388237.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71760501001502002503006989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
11Coral scored#12
38Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
56Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
69Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
702
#13
45.30.1
35.635.7
Auto11.3
Teleop32.1
End1.9
red by 5.7
294
#5
39.62.0
25.227.2
Auto5.5
Teleop30.4
End3.6
Second
5553
#27
20.20.2
16.616.9
Auto1.6
Teleop16.7
End1.9
blue by 17.2
37.42.0
21.523.5
Auto5.6
Teleop27.0
End4.8
Third
5089
#30
14.30.2
14.614.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
blue by 1.6
6305
#36
15.92.0
24.326.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned