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Red107
585716.9
784041.2
114836.8
Blue45
886113.5
96816.7
115911.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9340020608012014016010745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+50Teleop
+60Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave3
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points12
23Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +42
14Coral scored#4
50Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
68Total teleop26
Reef
7L4#2
7L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
2Foul points0
107Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.22.6
33.035.6
Auto7.7
Teleop27.4
End6.0
red by 24.5
968
#26
16.70.1
19.219.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End3.9
Second
1148
#25
36.82.6
35.838.4
Auto5.7
Teleop26.8
End4.3
red by 23.3
8861
#40
13.50.1
14.114.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.5
Third
5857
#11
16.92.6
12.815.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End3.4
red by 5.0
1159
#37
11.90.0
12.412.4
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed