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Red101
420140.3
59726.6
961519.9
Blue147
69649.6
59931.6
432245.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8511150100150200101147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+56
Endgame+42
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points33
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +39
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points56
2Processor algae#5
2Net algae#5
12Processor points30
8Net points20
20Algae points50
67Total teleop106
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#9
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#33
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
2Foul points6
101Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#15
40.31.1
41.542.7
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End5.6
blue by 9.3
696
#4
49.64.8
39.944.7
Auto9.6
Teleop35.8
End4.2
Second
597
#18
26.61.9
27.729.6
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End2.3
blue by 18.9
4322
#10
45.54.8
36.140.8
Auto9.4
Teleop34.4
End1.7
Third
9615
#35
19.91.9
12.614.5
Auto2.0
Teleop14.9
End3.0
blue by 11.7
599
#9
31.64.8
22.226.9
Auto7.9
Teleop21.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed