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Red75
258435.6
566916.2
499928.1
Blue81
665814.6
265923.0
375929.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79725060901001107581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+4
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
10Coral scored#12
35Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
53Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points2
75Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2584
#19
35.60.4
34.234.6
Auto6.1
Teleop25.0
End4.5
red by 6.1
3759
#32
29.51.0
29.430.4
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
Second
4999
#20
28.10.4
24.124.5
Auto4.6
Teleop18.7
End4.8
red by 5.0
2659
#22
23.01.6
22.824.4
Auto4.7
Teleop16.6
End1.7
Third
5669
#31
16.20.4
10.310.7
Auto2.2
Teleop12.7
End1.2
red by 1.5
6658
#21
14.61.0
12.313.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed