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Red41
151518.3
447027.8
17593.0
Blue35
1059712.8
145215.5
1065817.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635701001502004135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
+4Endgame
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto12
Teleoperatedlevel
5Coral scored#4
19Coral points15
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
23Total teleop23
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#7
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
2Foul points0
41Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.81.6
21.720.1
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End6.8
red by 10.1
17.71.7
22.921.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End1.1
Second
1515
#34
18.31.6
22.220.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End3.3
red by 2.8
1452
#14
15.51.0
16.415.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.9
Third
1759
#41
3.01.6
9.27.6
Auto2.2
Teleop0.8
End-0.1
blue by 9.8
12.81.7
11.49.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed