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Red83
183628.3
29439.6
496415.8
Blue86
555320.2
166136.8
98028.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707702040601001208386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+13
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
10Coral scored#15
37Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
61Total teleop71
Reef
3L4#7
5L3#5
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
10Foul points0
83Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#5
39.61.0
27.228.3
Auto5.5
Teleop30.4
End3.6
red by 2.8
36.81.0
31.532.5
Auto10.3
Teleop24.9
End1.5
Second
1836
#23
28.31.0
23.924.9
Auto3.9
Teleop23.4
End0.9
blue by 0.2
980
#17
28.51.6
23.324.9
Auto3.0
Teleop21.4
End4.1
Third
4964
#28
15.81.0
12.613.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End-1.1
blue by 4.4
5553
#27
20.21.6
16.918.5
Auto1.6
Teleop16.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed