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Red76
145215.5
432245.5
375929.5
Blue30
1065817.7
69049.3
96816.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8359020401001201401607630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+52Teleop
+52Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave3
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
19Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +36
11Coral scored#3
39Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
49Total teleop13
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points12
76Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#10
45.50.2
26.326.1
Auto9.4
Teleop34.4
End1.7
red by 27.8
10658
#29DQ
17.73.7
17.714.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End1.1
Second
3759
#32
29.50.1
30.730.6
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
red by 12.8
968
#26
16.73.8
22.819.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End3.9
Third
1452
#14
15.50.1
14.514.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.9
red by 6.2
6904
#38
9.32.8
11.28.4
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed