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Red75
258435.6
29439.6
1059712.8
Blue38
622015.9
1042421.3
585716.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103610501507538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
10Coral scored#4
37Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
47Total teleop19
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
8Foul points6
75Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#5
39.62.5
29.326.8
Auto5.5
Teleop30.4
End3.6
red by 18.2
21.36.7
21.314.7
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Second
2584
#19
35.61.9
40.138.2
Auto6.1
Teleop25.0
End4.5
red by 18.6
5857
#11
16.93.1
15.812.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Third
12.82.4
12.815.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End-0.1
blue by 3.1
6220
#39
15.93.1
23.720.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed