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Red66
375929.5
420140.3
114836.8
Blue87
665814.6
784041.2
145215.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126610501001502006687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
Endgame+27
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +2
9Coral scored#11
33Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
47Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
6Foul points0
66Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#15
40.33.4
42.739.2
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End5.6
blue by 0.8
41.22.5
35.638.2
Auto7.7
Teleop27.4
End6.0
Second
1148
#25
36.85.7
38.432.7
Auto5.7
Teleop26.8
End4.3
red by 21.4
1452
#14
15.51.5
15.316.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.9
Third
3759
#32
29.53.4
30.426.9
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
red by 14.9
6658
#21
14.61.5
13.314.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned