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Red87
98028.5
183628.3
886113.5
Blue55
1065817.7
8898-0.6
1042421.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7839020601001201408755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+32Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
13Coral scored#7
46Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
74Total teleop42
Reef
8L4#3
2L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
87Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
#17
28.51.0
24.925.9
Auto3.0
Teleop21.4
End4.1
red by 7.2
21.30.3
18.819.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
Second
1836
#23
28.31.0
24.926.0
Auto3.9
Teleop23.4
End0.9
red by 10.5
17.70.4
21.121.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End1.1
Third
8861
#40
13.51.0
16.417.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.5
red by 14.2
8898
#43
-0.60.3
0.20.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop-0.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed