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Red83
388237.4
496415.8
566916.2
Blue108
166136.8
961519.9
29439.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5182020406010012014016083108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
13Coral scored#15
45Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
65Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#4
6L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points12
83Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.43.1
25.829.0
Auto5.6
Teleop27.0
End4.8
blue by 2.2
294
#5
39.62.3
28.330.6
Auto5.5
Teleop30.4
End3.6
Second
5669
#31
16.22.0
13.415.4
Auto2.2
Teleop12.7
End1.2
blue by 20.6
36.81.5
32.534.0
Auto10.3
Teleop24.9
End1.5
Third
4964
#28
15.83.1
13.616.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End-1.1
blue by 4.1
9615
#35
19.92.3
12.815.1
Auto2.0
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed