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Red141
940867.0
258435.6
96816.7
Blue128
69049.3
70245.3
69649.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1269550150200141128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+13
+9Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
17Coral scored#23
60Coral points84
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
88Total teleop108
Reef
9L4#11
4L3#7
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#31
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
4Foul points0
141Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.01.1
62.763.8
Auto18.3
Teleop41.9
End6.8
red by 17.4
696
#4
49.63.4
44.748.0
Auto9.6
Teleop35.8
End4.2
Second
2584
#19
35.61.1
35.136.2
Auto6.1
Teleop25.0
End4.5
blue by 9.7
702
#13
45.32.0
38.340.3
Auto11.3
Teleop32.1
End1.9
Third
968
#26
16.71.7
17.419.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End3.9
red by 7.4
6904
#38
9.32.0
8.710.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed