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Qual 552025 Los Angeles Regional
Red100
950510.2
375929.5
784041.2
Blue104
432245.5
555320.2
1059712.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78680204060100120140100104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points16
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +14
13Coral scored#14
47Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
6Processor points6
24Net points8
30Algae points14
77Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points18
100Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7840
#3
41.22.3
38.2→40.5
Auto7.7
Teleop27.4
End6.0
blue by 4.3
4322
#10
45.52.0
38.8→40.8
Auto9.4
Teleop34.4
End1.7
Second
3759
#32
29.51.5
26.9→28.4
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
red by 9.2
5553
#27
20.22.0
18.5→20.4
Auto1.6
Teleop16.7
End1.9
Third
9505
#42
10.22.3
6.6→8.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
blue by 2.6
10597
#16
12.82.1
9.7→11.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned