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Red94
114836.8
447027.8
145215.5
Blue154
265923.0
499928.1
119770.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7611805010015020094154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+56
Endgame+54
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
2Coral scored#6
12Coral points30
12Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +35
9Coral scored#18
32Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
60Total teleop95
Reef
4L4#11
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
6Foul points12
94Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1148
#25
36.81.7
32.734.4
Auto5.7
Teleop26.8
End4.3
blue by 33.9
70.84.5
54.859.2
Auto20.4
Teleop42.4
End8.0
Second
27.81.7
21.823.5
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End6.8
blue by 0.3
4999
#20
28.12.7
24.527.2
Auto4.6
Teleop18.7
End4.8
Third
1452
#14
15.51.1
16.818.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.9
blue by 7.6
2659
#22
23.04.2
22.426.6
Auto4.7
Teleop16.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned