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Red144
59726.6
115911.9
1065817.7
Blue86
68722.8
420140.3
508914.3
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668405010015014486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+12
Endgame+20
+58Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
44Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
78Foul points0
144Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#18
26.60.3
31.031.3
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End2.3
blue by 13.7
4201
#15
40.30.6
39.239.8
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End5.6
Second
17.70.3
21.521.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End1.1
blue by 5.1
687
#33
22.80.9
23.324.2
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End2.7
Third
1159
#37
11.90.2
10.510.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.3
blue by 2.4
5089
#30
14.31.0
14.915.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned