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Red144
59931.6
166136.8
388237.4
Blue114
665814.6
69649.6
258435.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97109050150200144114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+38Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
12Processor points6
32Net points12
44Algae points18
102Total teleop74
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
144Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.45.1
29.034.0
Auto5.6
Teleop27.0
End4.8
blue by 12.2
696
#4
49.61.6
48.049.6
Auto9.6
Teleop35.8
End4.2
Second
36.83.5
34.037.5
Auto10.3
Teleop24.9
End1.5
red by 1.2
2584
#19
35.61.0
36.237.2
Auto6.1
Teleop25.0
End4.5
Third
599
#9
31.65.4
28.634.0
Auto7.9
Teleop21.8
End1.9
red by 17.0
6658
#21
14.61.0
14.815.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned