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Red34
630515.9
886113.5
151518.3
Blue68
183628.3
96816.7
566916.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6967204060801001203468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+34
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +22
3Coral scored#9
11Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
19Total teleop41
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points12
34Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
#34
18.32.9
23.020.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End3.3
blue by 9.9
1836
#23
28.30.4
26.025.5
Auto3.9
Teleop23.4
End0.9
Second
6305
#36
15.92.7
21.218.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End1.8
blue by 0.7
968
#26
16.70.4
19.118.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End3.9
Third
8861
#40
13.52.7
17.414.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.5
blue by 2.6
5669
#31
16.20.3
15.415.1
Auto2.2
Teleop12.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned