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Red93
1042421.3
496415.8
784041.2
Blue36
512425.6
8898-0.6
17593.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901904060801001201401609336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+49Teleop
+53Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave3
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +36
13Coral scored#6
45Coral points21
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
65Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#2
6L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#8
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
6Foul points2
93Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.7
40.541.2
Auto7.7
Teleop27.4
End6.0
red by 15.6
5124
#24
25.60.5
21.722.2
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
Second
21.30.7
19.219.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
red by 18.3
1759
#41
3.00.5
3.74.2
Auto2.2
Teleop0.8
End-0.1
Third
4964
#28
15.80.7
16.717.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End-1.1
red by 16.4
8898
#43
-0.60.5
0.51.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop-0.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed