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Red149
961519.9
114836.8
119770.8
Blue100
622015.9
29439.6
375929.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1207150100150200149100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+27Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +2
14Coral scored#19
52Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
88Total teleop86
Reef
5L4#4
8L3#7
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#24
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
149Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.84.2
59.263.4
Auto20.4
Teleop42.4
End8.0
red by 31.2
294
#5
39.62.4
30.633.0
Auto5.5
Teleop30.4
End3.6
Second
1148
#25
36.83.9
34.438.3
Auto5.7
Teleop26.8
End4.3
red by 7.4
3759
#32
29.51.7
28.430.1
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
Third
9615
#35
19.93.9
15.119.0
Auto2.0
Teleop14.9
End3.0
red by 4.0
6220
#39
15.92.4
16.018.4
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed