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Red78
447027.8
585716.9
265923.0
Blue71
420140.3
555320.2
1065817.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73930501507871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
40Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
12Foul points6
78Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.3
23.523.2
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End6.8
blue by 12.6
4201
#15
40.31.1
39.838.7
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End5.6
Second
2659
#22
23.00.3
26.626.3
Auto4.7
Teleop16.6
End1.7
red by 2.8
5553
#27
20.21.6
20.418.8
Auto1.6
Teleop16.7
End1.9
Third
5857
#11
16.90.3
18.918.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End3.4
blue by 0.8
17.71.6
21.820.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned