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Red56
145215.5
59726.6
98028.5
Blue86
59931.6
70245.3
1059712.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7791501001502005686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+38
Endgame+32
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +24
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
32Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#4
1L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#18
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
2Foul points0
56Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
#17
28.52.0
25.923.9
Auto3.0
Teleop21.4
End4.1
blue by 16.8
702
#13
45.30.0
40.340.3
Auto11.3
Teleop32.1
End1.9
Second
597
#18
26.62.0
31.329.3
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End2.3
blue by 5.0
599
#9
31.60.0
34.034.0
Auto7.9
Teleop21.8
End1.9
Third
1452
#14
15.51.4
18.016.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.9
red by 2.6
12.80.0
11.811.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed