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Qual 642025 Los Angeles Regional
Red151
432245.5
950510.2
940867.0
Blue72
499928.1
115911.9
68722.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13257010015020015172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+77Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave0
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points12
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +52
22Coral scored#10
80Coral points36
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
108Total teleop56
Reef
12L4#5
8L3#3
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
151Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#1
67.02.3
63.8→66.1
Auto18.3
Teleop41.9
End6.8
red by 38.9
4999
#20
28.10.5
27.2→27.7
Auto4.6
Teleop18.7
End4.8
Second
4322
#10
45.53.3
40.8→44.1
Auto9.4
Teleop34.4
End1.7
red by 22.6
687
#33
22.80.7
24.2→24.9
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End2.7
Third
9505
#42
10.23.3
8.9→12.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End-0.2
blue by 1.7
1159
#37
11.90.5
10.7→11.2
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed