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Red83
630515.9
114836.8
258435.6
Blue28
151518.3
8898-0.6
496415.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113320501001502008328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+49Teleop
+53Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +39
13Coral scored#5
47Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
61Total teleop22
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#7
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
2Foul points0
83Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1148
#25
36.81.9
38.336.4
Auto5.7
Teleop26.8
End4.3
red by 18.5
1515
#34
18.31.8
20.118.3
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End3.3
Second
2584
#19
35.61.4
37.235.8
Auto6.1
Teleop25.0
End4.5
red by 19.8
4964
#28
15.81.7
17.515.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End-1.1
Third
6305
#36
15.91.9
18.616.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End1.8
red by 16.6
8898
#43
-0.61.7
1.0-0.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop-0.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed