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Red40
1065817.7
622015.9
265923.0
Blue123
784041.2
388237.4
69649.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59141010020025040123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+73
Endgame+83
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave0
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +52
5Coral scored#13
19Coral points45
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
0Processor points18
8Net points16
8Algae points34
27Total teleop79
Reef
2L4#11
2L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points0
40Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#22
23.02.4
26.323.9
Auto4.7
Teleop16.6
End1.7
blue by 26.6
696
#4
49.60.5
49.649.1
Auto9.6
Teleop35.8
End4.2
Second
17.72.4
20.217.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End1.1
blue by 23.4
41.20.4
41.240.8
Auto7.7
Teleop27.4
End6.0
Third
6220
#39
15.92.4
18.415.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.7
End1.2
blue by 21.5
37.40.4
34.033.6
Auto5.6
Teleop27.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned