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Red70
555320.2
566916.2
1042421.3
Blue57
59726.6
59931.6
96816.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions489201502007057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+11Teleop
+15Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
11Coral scored#9
40Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
54Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points2
70Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.31.4
19.921.3
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End2.1
blue by 10.3
599
#9
31.62.4
34.031.6
Auto7.9
Teleop21.8
End1.9
Second
5553
#27
20.21.4
18.820.2
Auto1.6
Teleop16.7
End1.9
blue by 6.4
597
#18
26.62.4
29.326.9
Auto7.7
Teleop16.6
End2.3
Third
5669
#31
16.21.1
15.116.2
Auto2.2
Teleop12.7
End1.2
blue by 0.5
968
#26
16.72.4
18.716.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed