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Red113
499928.1
432245.5
961519.9
Blue133
512425.6
183628.3
420140.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10096708090110120130140113133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+12
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +2
18Coral scored#16
66Coral points58
4Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
24Processor points18
8Net points24
32Algae points42
98Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#6
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
113Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#10
45.51.0
44.145.1
Auto9.4
Teleop34.4
End1.7
red by 5.1
4201
#15
40.32.4
38.741.0
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End5.6
Second
4999
#20
28.10.7
27.728.4
Auto4.6
Teleop18.7
End4.8
blue by 0.2
1836
#23
28.33.1
25.528.7
Auto3.9
Teleop23.4
End0.9
Third
9615
#35
19.91.0
19.019.9
Auto2.0
Teleop14.9
End3.0
blue by 5.6
5124
#24
25.63.1
22.225.4
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned