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Red48
375929.5
69049.3
630515.9
Blue138
98028.5
447027.8
388237.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions599505015048138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+64
Endgame+84
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +61
6Coral scored#22
23Coral points78
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
35Total teleop96
Reef
2L4#11
1L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#5
9Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points6
48Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3759
#32
29.50.6
30.129.5
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End0.2
blue by 7.9
37.44.2
33.637.8
Auto5.6
Teleop27.0
End4.8
Second
6305
#36
15.90.7
16.615.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End1.8
blue by 12.6
980
#17
28.54.6
23.928.5
Auto3.0
Teleop21.4
End4.1
Third
6904
#38
9.30.6
9.89.3
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End1.9
blue by 18.5
27.84.6
23.227.8
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned