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Red160
940867.0
512425.6
119770.8
Blue100
96816.7
432245.5
784041.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17710250150200250300160100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+48Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
9Leave0
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points32
54Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +26
18Coral scored#11
66Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
90Total teleop64
Reef
13L4#6
6L3#6
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
160Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.80.0
69.969.9
Auto20.4
Teleop42.4
End8.0
red by 25.3
4322
#10
45.50.2
46.646.4
Auto9.4
Teleop34.4
End1.7
Second
67.00.0
66.366.3
Auto18.3
Teleop41.9
End6.8
red by 25.8
41.20.2
42.342.1
Auto7.7
Teleop27.4
End6.0
Third
5124
#24
25.60.0
24.824.7
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
red by 8.9
968
#26
16.70.2
17.817.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End3.9